MaintainerPulse

temporal prediction of dependency maintenance risk

toolz pytoolz/toolz ▲ high risk

72%
no release in the next 12 months
70%
new issues will go unanswered (30 days)
100%
maintainer activity collapse within 12 months
20%
chance of a release within 12 months (survival model)

Model risk over time

calibrated P(no release next 12mo) at each historical monthly snapshot
0%50%100%2018-012020-072022-122025-06high risk

Repository activity, last 36 months

pushes issues PyPI release
05102023-092024-082025-062026-09

What drives this score

TreeSHAP contributions; raises risk / lowers risk
releases, all time-events, all time+stars, all time+days since last release+

Survival curve

P(still no release) m months ahead, discrete-time hazard model
0%50%100%036912

What if? — poke the model

drag a signal and the deployed models rescore this package live (implied signals move together — two years without a release also zeroes "releases, last 12mo"). The needle tracks the activity-collapse model, a logistic regression: monotone by construction, so it responds smoothly to counterfactuals where the tree models step.

maintainer activity collapse, 12mo

In plain words

Maintained alternatives

similar packages with low predicted risk; ranked by summary similarity blended with shared-dependents overlap, validated against known migrations
packagewhat it issimilarity shared dependentsits 12mo risk
lk-utils A set of utility wrappers made for data processing. 0.66 0 9%
ruff An extremely fast Python linter and code formatter, written in Rust. 0.56 1 0%
dbt-common The shared common utilities that dbt-core and adapter implementations use 0.53 0 5%
dissect-util A Dissect module implementing various utility functions for the other Dissect modules 0.53 0 4%
joblib Lightweight pipelining with Python functions 0.52 0 17%

Signals at the latest snapshot

days since last release 319 releases, last 12mo 2
people pushing, last 12mo 1 bus factor (top pusher share) 100%
issues opened, last 12mo 1 30-day response rate 0%
stars accumulated 3873 open vulns without fix 0

Probabilities are isotonic-calibrated on a held-out validation year and evaluated on future snapshots the models never saw (PR-AUC 0.894, precision@50 = 1.00 on the headline target).