MaintainerPulse

temporal prediction of dependency maintenance risk

pyfaidx mdshw5/pyfaidx ● elevated

46%
no release in the next 12 months
44%
new issues will go unanswered (30 days)
100%
maintainer activity collapse within 12 months
51%
chance of a release within 12 months (survival model)

Model risk over time

calibrated P(no release next 12mo) at each historical monthly snapshot
0%50%100%2018-012020-072022-122025-06high risk

Repository activity, last 36 months

pushes issues PyPI release
05102023-092024-052025-012026-03

What drives this score

TreeSHAP contributions; raises risk / lowers risk
releases, all time-stars, all time+days since last release-events, all time+

Survival curve

P(still no release) m months ahead, discrete-time hazard model
0%50%100%036912

What if? — poke the model

drag a signal and the deployed models rescore this package live (implied signals move together — two years without a release also zeroes "releases, last 12mo"). The needle tracks the activity-collapse model, a logistic regression: monotone by construction, so it responds smoothly to counterfactuals where the tree models step.

maintainer activity collapse, 12mo

In plain words

Maintained alternatives

similar packages with low predicted risk; ranked by summary similarity blended with shared-dependents overlap, validated against known migrations
packagewhat it issimilarity shared dependentsits 12mo risk
anycrc The fastest general Python CRC Library 0.59 0 21%
slh-dsa Pure Python implementation of the SLH-DSA algorithm (based on FIPS 205). 0.54 0 29%
cachier Persistent, stale-free, local and cross-machine caching for Python functions. 0.54 0 6%
starkbank-ecdsa A lightweight and fast pure python ECDSA library 0.53 0 38%
ncls A fast interval tree-like implementation in C, wrapped for the Python ecosystem. 0.53 0 33%

Signals at the latest snapshot

days since last release 166 releases, last 12mo 3
people pushing, last 12mo 1 bus factor (top pusher share) 100%
issues opened, last 12mo 1 30-day response rate 0%
stars accumulated 390 open vulns without fix 0

Probabilities are isotonic-calibrated on a held-out validation year and evaluated on future snapshots the models never saw (PR-AUC 0.894, precision@50 = 1.00 on the headline target).