MaintainerPulse

temporal prediction of dependency maintenance risk

google-genai googleapis/python-genai ✓ low risk

0%
no release in the next 12 months
4%
new issues will go unanswered (30 days)
8%
maintainer activity collapse within 12 months
100%
chance of a release within 12 months (survival model)

Repository activity, last 36 months

pushes issues PyPI release
05001k2024-122025-072026-022026-09

What drives this score

TreeSHAP contributions; raises risk / lowers risk
days since last release-releases, last 12mo-releases, all time-pushes, last 12mo-

Survival curve

P(still no release) m months ahead, discrete-time hazard model
0%50%100%036912

What if? — poke the model

drag a signal and the deployed models rescore this package live (implied signals move together — two years without a release also zeroes "releases, last 12mo"). The needle tracks the activity-collapse model, a logistic regression: monotone by construction, so it responds smoothly to counterfactuals where the tree models step.

maintainer activity collapse, 12mo

In plain words

Signals at the latest snapshot

days since last release 1 releases, last 12mo 73
people pushing, last 12mo 13 bus factor (top pusher share) 38%
issues opened, last 12mo 111 30-day response rate 21%
stars accumulated 2469 open vulns without fix 0

Probabilities are isotonic-calibrated on a held-out validation year and evaluated on future snapshots the models never saw (PR-AUC 0.894, precision@50 = 1.00 on the headline target).